Housing market still flat despite interest rate cuts

Housing market still flat despite interest rate cuts

0 개 743 KoreaPost

House prices do not yet reflect the marked increase in consumer confidence following recent interest rate cuts.

On the contrary, our latest QV House Price Index shows values decreased nationally by an average of 2% throughout the three months to the end of August – a fraction of a percentage point more than in the July quarter. The average home is now worth $905,357, which is almost exactly the same as at the start of the 2024 calendar year.



"Home values have continued to slowly ebb and flow throughout the first eight months of 2024, but they are now effectively flat overall for the calendar year," said QV operations manager James Wilson. "This is reflective of a housing market that has been severely constricted by strong economic headwinds – including rising unemployment, credit constraints and, of course, high interest rates."

"Now that interest rates are finally coming down, we are seeing renewed interest in housing generally across the country. However, this won't necessarily translate into home value growth while there's such an excess of stock available for sale. Values will tighten again when prospective buyers aren't as spoilt for choice as they are currently, which could take a while," he added.

In the meantime, Aotearoa's largest cities experienced the largest average home value declines this quarter. Home values in Auckland and Wellington reduced by 2.8% and 3% respectively, with the former recording its seventh consecutive month of negative growth. Hamilton (-1.7%), Tauranga (-1.5%), Christchurch (-1.3%) and Dunedin (-1.1%) also recorded modest quarterly home value reductions in August.

"An abundance of real estate listings – especially in and around our largest cities – is expected to keep a firm lid on home value growth, even as increasing numbers of buyers start coming out of the woodwork as we move into spring. Their prevailing mindset now seems to be one of cautious optimism, that we're almost through the worst of it and now is a good time to see what's happening out there in the market," said Mr Wilson.

"Of course, we also expect to see even more real estate listings in the months ahead, as spring is traditionally when the real estate selling season starts ramping up again. More investors will look to sell properties following the changes to the bright line test back in July, and sellers who pulled their listings after trying and failing to sell earlier in the year may even look to try again now that there's an uptick in activity and a general sense that confidence amongst buyers is increasing."

Mr Wilson said this would continue to promote soft-to-flat value conditions nationally in the short term. "Spring has sprung and interest rates are coming down – but don't expect to see house prices suddenly take off again soon," he concluded. 

3734708104_94pHCXwn_0167a6982e33edf3047dc9b80706673194e67f13.png
Download a high resolution version of the latest QV value map here.

Northland

The average home value has reduced across the wider Northland region by 3.7% this quarter.

The smallest average reduction was in Whangarei, where the average home value decreased by 2.6% this quarter to $720,741. 

Kaipara had the largest average decline – down 5.1% to $817,350 – with Far North not far behind with a 4.7% quarterly reduction to $677,926. 

Auckland

Just one of the Super City's seven former local government areas is still showing a nominal amount of annual home value growth.

The average home value in Rodney is just 0.1% higher than at the same time last year at $1,224,613, despite a 3.3% reduction in the August quarter. All other areas are in the red annually, with Manukau (-2.6%) and Papakura (-2.7%) showing the largest average home value deficits over the last 12 months.

In the latest quarter, home values reduced by an average of 2.8% across the wider Auckland region – a slightly smaller quarterly reduction than the 3.4% decline recorded throughout the three months to the end of July. 

Local QV registered valuer Hugh Robson said there were signs that the market may have bottomed out now, with mortgage rates starting to ease back and the arrival of spring. 

"We've witnessed a slight improvement in the market over the past 4-5 weeks, with an increase in the number of sales in most suburbs – most notably on the North Shore and in east Auckland – and also a moderate increase in the number of listings," he said.

"More developers, investors, and buyers in general are out there looking at properties now."


Tauranga

Home values in Tauranga are now just 0.5% higher on average than at the same time last year.

It follows another quarter of negative growth, with the city's average home value reducing by 1.5% to $1,015,296. This includes a small average decline of 0.4% during the month of August, marking three consecutive months of declines.

Waikato

The average home in the Waikato region is now worth the same as one year ago.

The latest QV House Price Index shows annual home value growth across the region is now sitting at precisely 0% on average. It follows another quarter of negative growth – 1.9% throughout the three months to the end of August 2024 – and four consecutive months of declines.

In Hamilton, the average home value is just 0.2% higher on average than at the same time last year. In the latest quarter, the city's average value reduced by 1.7% to $774,685, compared to the 1.4% quarterly decline reported in our previous index.

Local QV property consultant Marshall Wu said the outlook for the housing sector remained complex due to declines in new dwelling building consents and mortgage rates. 

"Vendors have become more active with real estate flowing onto the market at an above average pace through autumn and winter, particularly following the announcement of a cut in the OCR to 5.25% in August. The increased flow of advertised properties is testing the depth of buyer demand. However, as we head into spring, an uplift in market activity can be anticipated in the coming weeks," he said. 

"First-home buyers are benefiting from lower asking prices and reduced interest rates in the current market. While there is still an underlying mismatch between housing supply and demand, some rebalancing appears to be underway, suggesting a potential correction or an incoming soft-landing in house prices."

Taranaki

It has been another quarter marked by slow decline in the Taranaki region. 

Across the wider region, the average home has reduced in value by 1.3% this quarter – just 0.1% off the quarterly rate of decline reported in last month's QV House Price Index.

In New Plymouth, the average home value has reduced by 1.4% to $711,009 this quarter. That figure is still 0.7% higher than at the same time last year. 

Stratford recorded the largest average home value reduction this quarter at 4%, with South Taranaki almost breaking even with a minimal reduction of 0.1% on average. 

Hawke's Bay

Residential property values continue to diminish across most of the Hawke's Bay.

The August quarter saw the average home value in Napier ($734,922) and Hastings ($769,447) reduce by 4% and 3% respectively. These are considerably larger rates of decline than the 1.8% and 1.1% reductions reported respectively in last month's QV House Price Index. 

Only Central Hawke's Bay managed to buck the trend this quarter, with its average home value increasing by 1.2% to $580,318 throughout the three months to the end of August 2024.

Palmerston North

Home values in Palmerston North fared better than most this quarter, reducing by an average of just 0.8%.

The city's average home value is now $635,441, which is still 2.1% more than the same time last year, but 1.1% less than at the start of 2024. 

Local QV registered valuer Olivia Betts commented: "This economic environment highlights the complex factors influencing current housing trends, where property condition and financial accessibility are key in shaping buyer behaviour and market outcomes.

"We're continuing to see a divide between different property types. Homes with older, outdated features are struggling to attract buyers and are often on the market for extended periods, whereas there's been a noticeable rise in interest for homes that have been recently modernised, indicating a growing preference for updated amenities."

"In the Palmerston North area, we have seen a steady pattern over the last 12 months. We expect this to continue throughout the remaining months of 2024," she added.

Wairarapa

The average home in Carterton is now worth 0.9% less than at the same time last year. It follows an August quarter that saw its average home value reduce by 0.7% to $627,033. 

Meanwhile, average home values remain 4.6% and 1.6% higher annually in Masterton and South Wairarapa respectively. This quarter, South Wairarapa's average home value reduced by 1.9% to $744,472, while Masterton's average home value reduced by 1.1% to $573,543.

Wellington

Wellington's average rate of home value decline increased again this quarter.

Our latest QV House Price Index shows the region's average home value reduced by 3% to $845,718 throughout the August 2024 quarter – compared to a 1.9% average decline in the three months to the end of July, and a 1.2% average decline in the three months to the end of June.

The quarterly rate of reduction also escalated across every district, with Hutt City (-3.9%) recording the largest deficit this quarter and Upper Hutt City (-1.4%) recording the smallest. 

Local QV senior consultant David Cornford said the recent drop in the official cash rate and corresponding interest rate cuts would likely spark increased buyer interest – "but it's not expected to translate into significant value gains in the near future". 

"As lower interest rates start to work their way through we should see a more balanced market start to develop. In the meantime, given the current economic and employment conditions in the capital, the majority of potential buyers are in no great hurry to make property decisions."

"There continues to be a high number of unsold properties on the market and as we move into spring stock levels are likely to increase further. This gives buyers plenty of options and also bargaining power," Mr Cornford said.

Nelson

Nelson is among just a handful of cities showing a nominal amount of home value growth this quarter.

Our latest QV House Price Index shows its average home value increased by 0.3% to $779,367 throughout the August 2024 quarter – compared to a 1.4% average decline in the three months to the end of July, and a 0.9% average decline in the three months to the end of June.

Marlborough also experienced a minor increase in average home value – up 0.1% to $712,143.
QV Nelson/Marlborough manager Craig Russell said property values had remained generally stable overall in recent months with very little change in values. "Inventory remains high largely due to low sales volumes and properties taking an extended period to sell."

"Insurance challenges are also continuing to impact the local market. Properties with perceived risk are often being put through extended due diligence periods to confirm their level of insurance cover, with possible exclusions or heightened premiums for specific loss types. Properties with prior damage or claim history are typically being discounted by purchasers," he said.

"Properties up to $700,000 in price are generally performing the best. This is typically the first-home buyer segment of the market. However, given the economic environment, some owner-occupiers are downsizing and therefore are competing with first-home buyers."

West Coast

Low sales volumes are still causing residential property values to fluctuate up and down on the West Coast.

However, on an annualised basis, home value levels in the region are still looking relatively robust by national standards. They are 6.9% higher than the same time last year in Westland, 7.3% higher in Grey District, and 3.6% higher in Buller. 

This is compared to a national average increase of 1.3% since the end of August last year.

Canterbury

Home values have continued to slowly ebb and flow across the wider Canterbury region this quarter.

The latest QV House Price Index shows home values have reduced across the wider region by an average of 1.1% throughout the three months to the end of August – compared to a 0.7% decline in the July quarter, and a 0.3% increase in the June quarter.

Hurunui (-4%) recorded the largest average home value reduction this quarter, followed by Christchurch (-1.3%) and Selwyn (-1.2%), while Ashburton (1.5%), Timaru (0.4%), and Mackenzie (0.3%) all recorded modest amounts of positive growth.

The average value of a home in the Garden City is now $760,929, which is 4.5% higher than at the same time last year. Across the wider region, only Ashburton (6.8%) and Timaru (5.7%) have experienced more growth over the past 12 months. 

Otago

Property values have flattened across the Otago region.

Our latest QV House Price Index shows the average home value reduced across the wider region by 0.1% in the August quarter – the same rate of growth as in the July quarter. The average home value is now 6.6% higher than it was 12 months ago, and 3% higher than at the start of the calendar year.

Across the wider region, Queenstown (see below) experienced the most growth at 0.5% for the quarter, while Dunedin experienced the largest average home value decline at 1.1% for the quarter.

"Interest rate drops are now being seen across lenders, with the expectation that we should be in for further cuts to the OCR within 2024," said local QV registered valuer Rebecca Johnston. "For now, though, it continues to be a buyers' market."

"Demand appears to have weakened somewhat for high-density new-build off-plan two-bedroom townhouses within the past several months, indicating this market is currently somewhat saturated. Developers have only recently introduced two-year rental guarantees, which have been established in other high-density townhouse development areas elsewhere in the country. Market weakening over the past four months for this sector is indicated between a range of 3.73% and 6.37%."

Queenstown

Once again, Queenstown was one of just a handful of urban areas to record a minor amount of home value growth this quarter.

Its average home value increased by 0.5% to $1,836,236 throughout the three months to the end of August 2024 – slightly up on the 0.3% growth reported for the July quarter. That figure is 6% higher than it was 12 months ago and 3.3% higher than at the start of this calendar year.

Invercargill

Residential property values have slowly zigged and zagged in the Deep South.

Invercargill's average home value reduced by 1.1% this quarter to $480,840, after earlier increasing by 1% and 0.4% in the June and July quarters respectively. That figure is 4.3% higher than the same time last year, and now just 0.7% more than at the start of 2024.

Local QV registered valuer Andrew Ronald commented: "The latest QV House Price Index shows values in Invercargill decreased by 0.6% compared to the previous month, which is the third small decrease in a row. The average Capital Value is now $480,840, dropping from a peak in March 2022 of $498,473."

"Market conditions remain flat across all price brackets. There is still steady demand from first-home buyers, and investors are beginning to return to the market with the restoration of interest tax deductibility rules. Continued high interest rates appear to be limiting price growth," Mr Ronald added.



Source: QV 

‘A rising tide lifts all boats’ - CRL set to …

댓글 0 | 조회 64 | 5시간전
John F. Kennedy’s much-quoted words apply to the predicted benefits of Auckland’s City Rail Link (CRL) across the Auckland region.According to Aucklan… 더보기

Get the facts on Auckland’s future housing pl…

댓글 0 | 조회 206 | 1일전
Auckland’s Future Housing Plan - Proposed Plan Change 120 - makes important changes to Auckland’s planning rules, and there is discussion happening in… 더보기

Auckland Council summer opening hours

댓글 0 | 조회 109 | 2일전
Planning your summer? We’ve got you covered.Auckland Council services and facilities run on different hours over the holidays, so check the list below… 더보기

Prohibited fire season for Hauraki Gulf islan…

댓글 0 | 조회 107 | 4일전
Fire and Emergency New Zealandhas today announced that all islands of the Hauraki Gulf have entered a prohibited fire season from 1 December, until fu… 더보기

Tiny but mighty: black mudfish rediscovered i…

댓글 0 | 조회 123 | 5일전
A little-known native freshwater fish thought lost from a local wetland has resurfaced. The elusive Waikaka, or black mudfish, has been rediscovered i… 더보기

Peace Bell stolen from Henderson's Japanese G…

댓글 0 | 조회 196 | 6일전
Update as of 19 November:Council staff have passed the CCTV footage to Police and will continue working with them to help identify those responsible.O… 더보기

Summer BBQ guide to waste-free fun

댓글 0 | 조회 229 | 9일전
Summer’s heating up and so are the grills! But before you fire up the BBQ, here are some tips for keeping your outdoor event low on waste and high on … 더보기

Auckland Libraries’ summer reading challenge …

댓글 0 | 조회 162 | 2025.11.24
This summer, Auckland Council Libraries isn’t just offering a reading challenge – it's inviting every whānau in Tāmaki Makaurau to become a champion o… 더보기

Building stronger neighbourhoods in Kaipātiki

댓글 0 | 조회 122 | 2025.11.22
AcompletedKaipātikiCommunity Recovery Planmarks a new milestone for Beach Haven, Northcote Point and Birkenhead in their recovery from 2023 storms.Pes… 더보기

Aucklanders urged to have their say: Four day…

댓글 0 | 조회 468 | 2025.11.19
With just days remaining until public consultation closes, Auckland Council is calling on residents and community groups to share their vision for the… 더보기

Changes to natural hazard information on your…

댓글 0 | 조회 215 | 2025.11.18
Auckland Council has made natural hazard information more understandable on property Land Information Memorandums (LIMs), as part of new national legi… 더보기

Annual food prices increase 4.7 percent

댓글 0 | 조회 129 | 2025.11.17
Food prices increased 4.7 percent in the 12 months to October 2025, following a 4.1 percent increase in the 12 months to September 2025, according to … 더보기

Judge fines developer over $48k for illegal e…

댓글 0 | 조회 508 | 2025.11.15
COD Crown Projects Limited (COD) has been fined $48,750 after pleading guilty to two charges under the Resource Management Act 1991 (RMA) for unlawful… 더보기

Say “I Do” to Auckland Council’s most charmin…

댓글 0 | 조회 318 | 2025.11.13
Your wedding day should be a reflection of your unique love story and Auckland Council literally holds the keys to some of the most enchanting, weddin… 더보기

Summer BBQ guide to waste-free fun

댓글 0 | 조회 247 | 2025.11.12
Summer’s heating up and so are the grills! But before you fire up the BBQ, here are some tips for keeping your outdoor event low on waste and high on … 더보기

What Auckland’s new plan means for your neigh…

댓글 0 | 조회 215 | 2025.11.10
A deep dive into what Plan Change 120 could mean for your local board areaAuckland Council is making changes to the Auckland Unitary Plan – the city’s… 더보기

Auckland Regional Parks track update

댓글 0 | 조회 225 | 2025.11.09
This update outlines significant progress made since April 2025 to renew and reopen tracks damaged during the severe weather events of 2023.Auckland C… 더보기

Northcote Market bursts to life and the fun i…

댓글 0 | 조회 231 | 2025.11.08
Northcote Town Centre was buzzing recently as the brand-new Northcote Market made its debut — and it’s just the start of a summer packed with free fun… 더보기

Auckland Council secures conviction and fine …

댓글 0 | 조회 157 | 2025.11.07
Auckland Council has secured fresh convictions and fines totalling $103,125 against Angela Maree Beer and her company Teddy and Friends Limited rename… 더보기

Free ways to get fit

댓글 0 | 조회 233 | 2025.11.06
Ready to inject some energy into your life and feel your absolute best? From scenic spots at our parks to the community spirit on our courts and pools… 더보기

First Aotearoa dementia-friendly film screeni…

댓글 0 | 조회 98 | 2025.11.05
A significant step forward has been made in making Tāmaki Makaurau a more age-friendly region with the successful completion of the Dementia Friendly … 더보기

Unemployment rate at 5.3 percent in the Septe…

댓글 0 | 조회 141 | 2025.11.05
New Zealand’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 5.3 percent in the September 2025 quarter, according to figures released by Stats NZ today.In … 더보기

Queen Street to become a magical pathway of f…

댓글 0 | 조회 397 | 2025.11.04
A magical and enchanting time of year, today Auckland Council and partners announce a jaw-dropping festive season set to 'electrify' city centre stree… 더보기

Submissions open on Auckland’s future housing…

댓글 0 | 조회 319 | 2025.11.03
Aucklanders can now have their say on proposed changes to the Auckland Unitary Plan – the city’s planning rulebook for where and how new homes and bus… 더보기

Key summer updates for Muriwai

댓글 0 | 조회 282 | 2025.11.02
Food trucks open for businessMuriwai Regional Park visitors will find a range of food options and cool refreshments available at the west coast beach … 더보기

Auckland’s Governing Body members appointed f…

댓글 0 | 조회 142 | 2025.11.01
Auckland’s mayor, deputy mayor and 19 councillors have officially declared to act in the best interests of the communities they represent for the next… 더보기

Auckland Council toughens up on building in f…

댓글 0 | 조회 289 | 2025.11.01
From Monday 3 November 2025, stronger planning rules take effect in Auckland to better protect people and property from natural hazards.The change is … 더보기

Population growth slows in all regions

댓글 0 | 조회 183 | 2025.10.30
Population growth slowed in all of Aotearoa New Zealand’s 16 regions in the year ended June 2025, according to provisional estimates released by Stats… 더보기

Bringing Pōhutukawa Glade back to life

댓글 0 | 조회 151 | 2025.10.25
Work is now under way to bring Pōhutukawa Glade, a much-loved Karekare reserve in the Waitākere Ranges Regional Park, back to life.The partnership pro… 더보기

Changes to natural hazard information on your…

댓글 0 | 조회 274 | 2025.10.24
Auckland Council has made natural hazard information more understandable on property Land Information Memorandums (LIMs), as part of new national legi… 더보기

Trial brings new phone charging benches to Au…

댓글 0 | 조회 229 | 2025.10.23
Auckland Transport (AT) has launched a trial of smart, solar powered benches at four busy city centre bus stops.The ‘SmartBeam’ benches are 100% solar… 더보기

Speed limit change proposed for Browns Bay To…

댓글 0 | 조회 193 | 2025.10.22
Auckland Transport (AT) are proposing a speed limit change to 40km/h in the Browns Bay Town Centre.New safety improvements are approved for constructi… 더보기

Auckland Council’s first in-house desexing cl…

댓글 0 | 조회 285 | 2025.10.18
Auckland Council’s first in-house desexing clinic making strides in dog desexing programmeAuckland Council’s first-ever in-house dog desexing clinic i… 더보기

Council and Volunteering Auckland celebrate 3…

댓글 0 | 조회 261 | 2025.10.16
Auckland Council is proud to support Volunteering Auckland and the important work it does in Tāmaki Makaurau, as the two organisations celebrate 35 ye… 더보기

Milford’s recovery from the early 2023 storms

댓글 0 | 조회 274 | 2025.10.14
The suburbs surrounding the Wairau Creek on the North Shore were some of the hardest hit during the 2023 floods, with the tragic loss of two lives and… 더보기

End of Windows 10 support prompts call to rec…

댓글 0 | 조회 206 | 2025.10.11
‘Ditch your obsolete tech responsibly’ is the message Auckland Council wants Aucklanders to heed on International E-Waste Day, as thousands of compute… 더보기

Wynyard Quarter artwork Waka Moana blends Māo…

댓글 0 | 조회 295 | 2025.10.09
Tāmaki Makaurau, Tāmaki Herenga Waka, Tāmaki HerengaTāmaki, the gathering place of waka, the gathering place of peoplePrepare to be drawn closer to th… 더보기

Discriminatory migration system fails Pacific…

댓글 0 | 조회 213 | 2025.10.09
Authorities in Aotearoa New Zealand are failing people most at risk of climate-related harm in the Pacific islands, subjecting them to discriminatory … 더보기

Beresford Square reopens after six years, mar…

댓글 0 | 조회 197 | 2025.10.07
Beresford Square has reopened after almost six years tucked away behind construction hoardings, giving Aucklanders back a refreshed public space at th… 더보기

The countdown is on: local election voting cl…

댓글 0 | 조회 230 | 2025.10.07
Saturday 11 October, midday is the cut-off.As soon as the clock strikes 12 o’clock, vote boxes across Tāmaki Makaurau will be sealed shut—each one hol… 더보기

Withdrawing Plan Change 78 – what this could …

댓글 0 | 조회 574 | 2025.10.05
On 9 October 2025, Plan Change 78 will be partially withdrawn, including the removal of medium density residential standards (MDRS) as a permitted act… 더보기

Signing of Deed of Acknowledgement marks mile…

댓글 0 | 조회 226 | 2025.10.04
After more than 17 years since the Waitākere Ranges Heritage Area Act 2008 was passed, a significant new agreement was signed yesterday between Te Kaw… 더보기

Thousands of dog owners still ignoring regist…

댓글 0 | 조회 183 | 2025.10.02
Council says “time for excuses is over”Auckland Council is once again being forced to crack down on irresponsible dog owners, as thousands of dog owne… 더보기

Consultation opens soon on proposed fortnight…

댓글 0 | 조회 185 | 2025.10.01
Aucklanders will have the chance to share their views on a proposed six-month trial of fortnightly kerbside rubbish collections in selected areas of A… 더보기

Police arrest man; innocent pups rescued afte…

댓글 0 | 조회 226 | 2025.09.30
Police have acted swiftly to protect three puppies after a man allegedly mistreated them near the Parnell Train Station.The innocent puppies are now s… 더보기

$26 billion in dirty money: Fonterra cashes i…

댓글 0 | 조회 268 | 2025.09.25
Dirty money: that’s what Greenpeace is calling the $26 billion in revenue brought in by dairy giant Fonterra over the last financial year.Greenpeace s… 더보기

New Plan Approved for Auckland’s Future

댓글 0 | 조회 638 | 2025.09.24
Auckland Council’s Policy and Planning Committee today approved new changes to the city’s planning rules to better protect people and property from fl… 더보기

Auckland’s Britomart Station Officially Renam…

댓글 0 | 조회 533 | 2025.09.22
As part of the City Rail Link (CRL) project, the Mana Whenua Forum gifted a new name — Waitematā Station — to Auckland’s Britomart Station.Auckland Tr… 더보기

Kiwi families face 'ticking time bomb' withou…

댓글 0 | 조회 281 | 2025.09.22
Thousands of Kiwi heart patients are missing out on a proven, life-saving heart medication because it is not publicly funded.Kia Manawanui Trust - The… 더보기

New round of funding for zero waste projects …

댓글 0 | 조회 260 | 2025.09.21
Waste Minimisation & Innovation Fund opens soonDo you have an idea for reducing waste in your community, school or business?Auckland Council is en… 더보기