Spring marks subtle shift in market conditions

Spring marks subtle shift in market conditions

0 개 679 KoreaPost

Spring has sprung, but green shoots of growth remain scarce across New Zealand Aotearoa's housing market – for the time being.

Our latest QV House Price Index shows the average home decreased in value nationally by 0.4% last month and by 1.6% in the September quarter – compared to a 0.5% monthly decline and a 2% quarterly decline in our August index. The national average is now $901,920, which is just 0.3% higher than the same time last year.

The latest data also shows that home values have continued to slowly level out across much of the country in the September quarter, with the average three-month rolling rate of reduction slowing in Auckland (-1.7%), Christchurch (-0.8%), Hamilton (-1.2%), Dunedin (-0.8%) and most of the other main urban areas we monitor around the country. 



The most notable exception was Wellington, where home values have reduced at twice the national average rate. The Wellington region's average home value has reduced by an average of 3.2% in the September quarter – a slightly higher rate of reduction than the 3% decline reported for the August quarter.

QV operations manager James Wilson commented: "Interest rates have started to come down now, so we're really starting to see sentiment shift across much of the country. There seems to be a spreading expectation that interest rates can only go one way, and so we're seeing more people at open homes, in auction rooms, and browsing for property online. 

"And so it certainly seems like a general uplift in property values is now on the horizon, but despite growing confidence and optimism that we're through the worst of it, the conditions aren't yet conducive to growth. The cost of borrowing still remains relatively high, the cost of living is restrictive, and there are significant worries about job security – especially in Wellington."

Mr Wilson said high levels of stock for sale on the market today were also having a dampening effect on prices. "Generally speaking, those who are in a position to purchase still have a raft of different options to choose from right now, especially within the main centres. So there isn't so much pressure on prices currently, with more than enough houses for sale to meet the current level of demand."

However, he expected that balance to slowly shift over the coming months – particularly if interest rates continue to fall. "All eyes will be on the Reserve Bank's October announcement. If the Official Cash Rate drops again, as many are expecting it to, it will reinforce the growing perception that now is a decent time to become reacquainted with the property market. A larger cut, like what we saw recently in the US, will only reinforce it even more." 

"First-home buyers remain very much in the ascendancy right now, but we're already starting to see more investors coming out of the woodwork. This will ramp up the level of competition in the housing market and help to absorb some of that excess stock. Values will inevitably tighten again when prospective buyers aren't so spoilt for choice. That hasn't happened yet," Mr Wilson concluded.

3734708104_CxujF0ZY_f52d22e50fce78e957520e6d2598001103af4fd4.png
Download a high resolution version of the latest QV value map here.

Northland

Home values continue to decline across the wider Northland region at a quicker rate than the national average. 

The average rate of decline slowed somewhat in Whangarei, where the average home value reduced by 2.1% in the September quarter to $714,322 – compared to a 2.6% reduction in the three months to the end of August.

Otherwise, the average home value decreased in the Far North by 7.3% to $673,508 this quarter, and by 8.6% to $793,395 in Kaipara. These figures remain highly volatile due to continued low sales volumes.

Auckland

Green shoots of home value growth remain rare across Tāmaki Makaurau, despite a notable shift in sentiment following recent interest rate cuts.

Of Auckland's seven former local government areas, only Papakura (0.4%) experienced a small amount of home value growth on average this quarter. Otherwise, Franklin (-3.3%) saw the largest average decline and Rodney (-1.5%) saw the smallest.

However, the average rate of home value decline did slow across every Auckland district this quarter. Home values reduced by an average of 1.7% across the wider region – compared to a 2.8% decline average decline throughout the three months to the end of August. 

The average value of a home in Auckland is now $1,228,955, which is 2.6% lower than the same time last year and now 4.4% lower than at the start of 2024.

Local QV registered valuer Hugh Robson commented: "There are increasing signs that a slow recovery is underway now across the Auckland region, with more developers, investors and buyers in general, all out there looking to buy."

Tauranga

The average rate of home value decline has increased in Tauranga.

The city's average home value reduced by 1% in the month of September – compared to a 0.4% reduction in August – with its three-month rolling rate of decline now sitting at 2.1%. This also compares to a 1.6% average decline nationally this quarter.

Tauranga's average home value is now $1,005,282, which is still 0.3% higher than the same time last year.

Waikato

Modest patches of growth have emerged across Waikato's residential property market. 

After four consecutive months of decline, home values lifted slightly across the wider region by an average of 0.6% during the month of September, with almost every district recording minor amounts of growth. 

Hamilton was the exception. Its average home value decreased by 0.3% to $772,473 in September. The average home here is now worth 0.5% less than the same time last year and 1.6% less than at the start of 2024.

Local QV property consultant Marshall Wu commented: "The regional market is mixed. Most of the larger districts – including Thames-Coromandel, Waikato, Matamata-Piako and Waipa – have experienced a quarterly decrease, whereas smaller districts like Hauraki, Otorohanga, and Waitomo are displaying signs of recovery."

"The outlook for the housing market remains intertwined with the trajectory of interest rates, economic growth and labour market conditions. Although market activity has increased since the start of spring, overall trends indicate a flat to slightly declining housing market. The high volume of properties currently for sale has strengthened buyers' positions, leading to extended selling times for vendors, declining asking prices, and lower auction clearance rates," Mr Wu said.

"First-time home buyers are benefiting from this environment, adopting a 'wait and see' approach ahead of the OCR announcement in October," he added.


Taranaki

There were some very small pockets of growth across the Taranaki region last month but the market remains largely flat overall. 

Average home values in New Plymouth (0.4%) and Stratford (0.8%) increased in September, but reduced by 1.6% in neighbouring in South Taranaki.

Home values remain 0.4% lower on average across the region for the quarter but 1.2% higher than at the same time last year. 

Hawke's Bay

There is little home value growth to speak of in the Hawke's Bay.  

Residential property values in Napier ($729,034) and Hastings ($774,635) reduced by 4.2% and 1.8% respectively this quarter – though the latter did record a modest amount (0.7%) of positive home value growth during the month of September itself.

Once again, only Central Hawke's Bay managed to buck the trend this quarter, with its average home value increasing by 2.6% to $587,346 throughout the three months to the end of September.

Palmerston North

Property values remain relatively steady in Palmerston North.

The latest QV House Price Index shows the city's average value decreased by 1.3% to $628,981 in the September quarter – just slightly worse than the 0.8% decline recorded in the August quarter – but that figure is still 0.3% higher on average than at the same time last year. 

Local QV registered valuer Olivia Betts commented: "The real estate market typically picks up when spring begins. However, affordability concerns remain, with many potential buyers facing challenges due to higher interest rates. Although these have dropped in recent times, further drops are required to relive this price pressure."

"We're continuing to see a slight weakening of the centre point of the market, but there has been some solid interest around the mid-$500,000 price bracket from first-home buyers looking for anything modernised in the last 20 years. Properties with older, outdated features are struggling to attract buyers and are often having to sit on the market for extended periods of time," she added.

Wairarapa

The latest housing data continues to be volatile in some areas of the country due to low sales volumes.

The average home value in Carterton has reduced by 6.9% to $588,340 in the September quarter – well down on the 0.7% decline QV recorded for the August quarter – with Masterton's average value also reducing by 4.6% to $569,813.

South Wairarapa recorded a much more modest 1.3% reduction this quarter. Its average home value is now $750,126.

Wellington

Home values in Wellington have reduced at twice the average rate nationally.  

Our latest QV House Price Index shows the region's average home value decreased by 3.2% to $837,878 throughout the September 2024 quarter – compared to a 3% average decline in the three months to the end of August and a national average quarterly decline of 1.6%.  

During the month of September, home values reduced by an average of 0.9% across the wider region – compared to a 1.3% average decline in August and a national average monthly decline of 0.4%.

Breaking it down by district, Kapiti Coast and Hutt City both experienced the largest average home value declines this quarter at 3.6%. Upper Hutt recorded the smallest average quarterly decline at 1.5%, with Wellington City (-3.2%) and Porirua (-2%) sitting in between those three. 

"Home loan serviceability, job sector uncertainty and the general cost of living are all having an impact on existing homeowners and prospective buyers," said local QV registered valuer Jack Whiteman.

"Despite having the advantage of choice and competitive pricing, buyers are having to take a cautious approach to the market. Given the current economic circumstances and uncertainty about job security following some public sector redundancies earlier in the year, only those with secure employment are willing to take on debt at this time. This is resulting in a relatively quiet property market."

Nelson

The property market remains relatively flat throughout the Tasman region. 

Our latest QV House Price Index shows Nelson's average home value increased by 0.6% to $776,415 throughout the September 2024 quarter – compared to an even smaller 0.3% average increase in the three months to the end of August. 

In Tasman District, the average home value remained almost completely static this quarter – increasing by just 0.1% to $818,215. Meanwhile, the average home value in Marlborough reduced by 1.4% to $701,622.

QV Nelson/Marlborough manager Craig Russell said sales volumes remained low throughout the region with properties taking an extended period to sell. 

"There is greater market activity at the lower end of the market, where a combination of first-home buyers and owner-occupiers are active. But properties that are situated in locations that have been deemed high risk are being discounted by purchasers, which is in part due to the uncertainty that these properties have obtaining insurance now and into the future."

West Coast

Home values have done little more than break even across the wider West Coast region this quarter.

The average home value across the wider region increased by 0.3% in the three months to the end of September. Westland (2.5%) and Grey (1.2%) performed above average, while home values in Buller (-3.2%) experienced a small loss on average this quarter. 

The average home value is $346,295 in Buller, $428,762 in Grey, and $452,068 in Westland.

Canterbury

Home values remain almost as flat as the Canterbury Plains. 

Our latest QV House Price Index shows the average home value across the wider Canterbury region decreased by just 0.7% throughout the three months to the end of September 2024 – compared to average decreases of 1.1% and 0.7% in the August and July quarters respectively.

Waimakariri experienced an average quarterly decline of 0.9%, with home values in Selwyn and Hurunui holding up slightly better this quarter with average deficits of just 0.3% and 0.4% respectively.

In Christchurch, the average home value reduced by 0.8% this quarter, including by 0.4% during the month of September itself. 

QV senior consultant Olivia Brownie commented: "The latest QV House Price Index has seen a little sales slump for Christchurch, with an increase of spring listings tipping the equilibrium slightly to a minor decrease in home values."

"With interest rates easing and some increase in spring activity, we may see the Canterbury market have a further slowdown in home value decline, if not some positive movement over the next few months. However, this is all offset by a sizable supply of new builds and stock available, and still some economic uncertainty in some business sectors across the Canterbury region."

Otago

Home values all-but broke even in Dunedin last month.

The city's average home value decreased by 0.8% this quarter, including by only 0.1% in September. At $638,297, the average home is now worth 4.6% more than at the same time last year and 1.8% more than at the start of 2024.

"Dunedin's number of properties listed for sale appears to have jumped back up after four months of decline, with the average number of days to sell still remaining high. So it's still obviously a buyers' market," said local QV registered valuer Rebecca Johnston.

"Though vacant land sales remain slow compared to the market's peak at the end of 2021, they have increased across the city compared to 2022 and early 2023, indicating more positive sentiment for new builds/developments. Well located properties – including in new subdivisions on the Taieri, on the coast, and in Residential 2 and Inner City Residential zoned properties – have the greatest demand."

Meanwhile, the average home value increased by 0.5% across the wider Otago region this quarter. Only Dunedin and Central Otago (-0.9%) recorded small average home value deficits, with values increasing marginally in all the other districts. 

Queenstown

Home values remain flat to gently rising in Queenstown.

The latest QV House Price Index shows its average home value lifted by 1% in the September quarter to $1,846,833. That is twice as much growth as in the three months to the end of August 2024.

The average home in Queenstown is now worth 7% more than the same time last year. This compares to an average annual increase of just 0.3% nationally. 

Invercargill

Residential property values grew by an average of 1.2% last month in Invercargill. 

The city's average home value is $486,639, which is now 4% higher than the same time last year.

Local QV registered valuer Andrew Ronald commented: "Market conditions remain flat across all price brackets. There is still steady demand from first-home buyers, and investors are beginning to return to the market with the restoration of interest tax deductibility rules."

"However, continued high interest rates appear to be limiting price growth," he added.

‘A rising tide lifts all boats’ - CRL set to …

댓글 0 | 조회 52 | 3시간전
John F. Kennedy’s much-quoted words apply to the predicted benefits of Auckland’s City Rail Link (CRL) across the Auckland region.According to Aucklan… 더보기

Get the facts on Auckland’s future housing pl…

댓글 0 | 조회 205 | 1일전
Auckland’s Future Housing Plan - Proposed Plan Change 120 - makes important changes to Auckland’s planning rules, and there is discussion happening in… 더보기

Auckland Council summer opening hours

댓글 0 | 조회 107 | 2일전
Planning your summer? We’ve got you covered.Auckland Council services and facilities run on different hours over the holidays, so check the list below… 더보기

Prohibited fire season for Hauraki Gulf islan…

댓글 0 | 조회 105 | 4일전
Fire and Emergency New Zealandhas today announced that all islands of the Hauraki Gulf have entered a prohibited fire season from 1 December, until fu… 더보기

Tiny but mighty: black mudfish rediscovered i…

댓글 0 | 조회 121 | 5일전
A little-known native freshwater fish thought lost from a local wetland has resurfaced. The elusive Waikaka, or black mudfish, has been rediscovered i… 더보기

Peace Bell stolen from Henderson's Japanese G…

댓글 0 | 조회 195 | 6일전
Update as of 19 November:Council staff have passed the CCTV footage to Police and will continue working with them to help identify those responsible.O… 더보기

Summer BBQ guide to waste-free fun

댓글 0 | 조회 228 | 8일전
Summer’s heating up and so are the grills! But before you fire up the BBQ, here are some tips for keeping your outdoor event low on waste and high on … 더보기

Auckland Libraries’ summer reading challenge …

댓글 0 | 조회 161 | 2025.11.24
This summer, Auckland Council Libraries isn’t just offering a reading challenge – it's inviting every whānau in Tāmaki Makaurau to become a champion o… 더보기

Building stronger neighbourhoods in Kaipātiki

댓글 0 | 조회 121 | 2025.11.22
AcompletedKaipātikiCommunity Recovery Planmarks a new milestone for Beach Haven, Northcote Point and Birkenhead in their recovery from 2023 storms.Pes… 더보기

Aucklanders urged to have their say: Four day…

댓글 0 | 조회 466 | 2025.11.19
With just days remaining until public consultation closes, Auckland Council is calling on residents and community groups to share their vision for the… 더보기

Changes to natural hazard information on your…

댓글 0 | 조회 214 | 2025.11.18
Auckland Council has made natural hazard information more understandable on property Land Information Memorandums (LIMs), as part of new national legi… 더보기

Annual food prices increase 4.7 percent

댓글 0 | 조회 128 | 2025.11.17
Food prices increased 4.7 percent in the 12 months to October 2025, following a 4.1 percent increase in the 12 months to September 2025, according to … 더보기

Judge fines developer over $48k for illegal e…

댓글 0 | 조회 507 | 2025.11.15
COD Crown Projects Limited (COD) has been fined $48,750 after pleading guilty to two charges under the Resource Management Act 1991 (RMA) for unlawful… 더보기

Say “I Do” to Auckland Council’s most charmin…

댓글 0 | 조회 316 | 2025.11.13
Your wedding day should be a reflection of your unique love story and Auckland Council literally holds the keys to some of the most enchanting, weddin… 더보기

Summer BBQ guide to waste-free fun

댓글 0 | 조회 245 | 2025.11.12
Summer’s heating up and so are the grills! But before you fire up the BBQ, here are some tips for keeping your outdoor event low on waste and high on … 더보기

What Auckland’s new plan means for your neigh…

댓글 0 | 조회 212 | 2025.11.10
A deep dive into what Plan Change 120 could mean for your local board areaAuckland Council is making changes to the Auckland Unitary Plan – the city’s… 더보기

Auckland Regional Parks track update

댓글 0 | 조회 222 | 2025.11.09
This update outlines significant progress made since April 2025 to renew and reopen tracks damaged during the severe weather events of 2023.Auckland C… 더보기

Northcote Market bursts to life and the fun i…

댓글 0 | 조회 229 | 2025.11.08
Northcote Town Centre was buzzing recently as the brand-new Northcote Market made its debut — and it’s just the start of a summer packed with free fun… 더보기

Auckland Council secures conviction and fine …

댓글 0 | 조회 157 | 2025.11.07
Auckland Council has secured fresh convictions and fines totalling $103,125 against Angela Maree Beer and her company Teddy and Friends Limited rename… 더보기

Free ways to get fit

댓글 0 | 조회 231 | 2025.11.06
Ready to inject some energy into your life and feel your absolute best? From scenic spots at our parks to the community spirit on our courts and pools… 더보기

First Aotearoa dementia-friendly film screeni…

댓글 0 | 조회 97 | 2025.11.05
A significant step forward has been made in making Tāmaki Makaurau a more age-friendly region with the successful completion of the Dementia Friendly … 더보기

Unemployment rate at 5.3 percent in the Septe…

댓글 0 | 조회 139 | 2025.11.05
New Zealand’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 5.3 percent in the September 2025 quarter, according to figures released by Stats NZ today.In … 더보기

Queen Street to become a magical pathway of f…

댓글 0 | 조회 396 | 2025.11.04
A magical and enchanting time of year, today Auckland Council and partners announce a jaw-dropping festive season set to 'electrify' city centre stree… 더보기

Submissions open on Auckland’s future housing…

댓글 0 | 조회 317 | 2025.11.03
Aucklanders can now have their say on proposed changes to the Auckland Unitary Plan – the city’s planning rulebook for where and how new homes and bus… 더보기

Key summer updates for Muriwai

댓글 0 | 조회 281 | 2025.11.02
Food trucks open for businessMuriwai Regional Park visitors will find a range of food options and cool refreshments available at the west coast beach … 더보기

Auckland’s Governing Body members appointed f…

댓글 0 | 조회 140 | 2025.11.01
Auckland’s mayor, deputy mayor and 19 councillors have officially declared to act in the best interests of the communities they represent for the next… 더보기

Auckland Council toughens up on building in f…

댓글 0 | 조회 287 | 2025.11.01
From Monday 3 November 2025, stronger planning rules take effect in Auckland to better protect people and property from natural hazards.The change is … 더보기

Population growth slows in all regions

댓글 0 | 조회 181 | 2025.10.30
Population growth slowed in all of Aotearoa New Zealand’s 16 regions in the year ended June 2025, according to provisional estimates released by Stats… 더보기

Bringing Pōhutukawa Glade back to life

댓글 0 | 조회 150 | 2025.10.25
Work is now under way to bring Pōhutukawa Glade, a much-loved Karekare reserve in the Waitākere Ranges Regional Park, back to life.The partnership pro… 더보기

Changes to natural hazard information on your…

댓글 0 | 조회 271 | 2025.10.24
Auckland Council has made natural hazard information more understandable on property Land Information Memorandums (LIMs), as part of new national legi… 더보기

Trial brings new phone charging benches to Au…

댓글 0 | 조회 228 | 2025.10.23
Auckland Transport (AT) has launched a trial of smart, solar powered benches at four busy city centre bus stops.The ‘SmartBeam’ benches are 100% solar… 더보기

Speed limit change proposed for Browns Bay To…

댓글 0 | 조회 192 | 2025.10.22
Auckland Transport (AT) are proposing a speed limit change to 40km/h in the Browns Bay Town Centre.New safety improvements are approved for constructi… 더보기

Auckland Council’s first in-house desexing cl…

댓글 0 | 조회 283 | 2025.10.18
Auckland Council’s first in-house desexing clinic making strides in dog desexing programmeAuckland Council’s first-ever in-house dog desexing clinic i… 더보기

Council and Volunteering Auckland celebrate 3…

댓글 0 | 조회 260 | 2025.10.16
Auckland Council is proud to support Volunteering Auckland and the important work it does in Tāmaki Makaurau, as the two organisations celebrate 35 ye… 더보기

Milford’s recovery from the early 2023 storms

댓글 0 | 조회 273 | 2025.10.14
The suburbs surrounding the Wairau Creek on the North Shore were some of the hardest hit during the 2023 floods, with the tragic loss of two lives and… 더보기

End of Windows 10 support prompts call to rec…

댓글 0 | 조회 204 | 2025.10.11
‘Ditch your obsolete tech responsibly’ is the message Auckland Council wants Aucklanders to heed on International E-Waste Day, as thousands of compute… 더보기

Wynyard Quarter artwork Waka Moana blends Māo…

댓글 0 | 조회 293 | 2025.10.09
Tāmaki Makaurau, Tāmaki Herenga Waka, Tāmaki HerengaTāmaki, the gathering place of waka, the gathering place of peoplePrepare to be drawn closer to th… 더보기

Discriminatory migration system fails Pacific…

댓글 0 | 조회 212 | 2025.10.09
Authorities in Aotearoa New Zealand are failing people most at risk of climate-related harm in the Pacific islands, subjecting them to discriminatory … 더보기

Beresford Square reopens after six years, mar…

댓글 0 | 조회 194 | 2025.10.07
Beresford Square has reopened after almost six years tucked away behind construction hoardings, giving Aucklanders back a refreshed public space at th… 더보기

The countdown is on: local election voting cl…

댓글 0 | 조회 229 | 2025.10.07
Saturday 11 October, midday is the cut-off.As soon as the clock strikes 12 o’clock, vote boxes across Tāmaki Makaurau will be sealed shut—each one hol… 더보기

Withdrawing Plan Change 78 – what this could …

댓글 0 | 조회 573 | 2025.10.05
On 9 October 2025, Plan Change 78 will be partially withdrawn, including the removal of medium density residential standards (MDRS) as a permitted act… 더보기

Signing of Deed of Acknowledgement marks mile…

댓글 0 | 조회 224 | 2025.10.04
After more than 17 years since the Waitākere Ranges Heritage Area Act 2008 was passed, a significant new agreement was signed yesterday between Te Kaw… 더보기

Thousands of dog owners still ignoring regist…

댓글 0 | 조회 181 | 2025.10.02
Council says “time for excuses is over”Auckland Council is once again being forced to crack down on irresponsible dog owners, as thousands of dog owne… 더보기

Consultation opens soon on proposed fortnight…

댓글 0 | 조회 184 | 2025.10.01
Aucklanders will have the chance to share their views on a proposed six-month trial of fortnightly kerbside rubbish collections in selected areas of A… 더보기

Police arrest man; innocent pups rescued afte…

댓글 0 | 조회 225 | 2025.09.30
Police have acted swiftly to protect three puppies after a man allegedly mistreated them near the Parnell Train Station.The innocent puppies are now s… 더보기

$26 billion in dirty money: Fonterra cashes i…

댓글 0 | 조회 266 | 2025.09.25
Dirty money: that’s what Greenpeace is calling the $26 billion in revenue brought in by dairy giant Fonterra over the last financial year.Greenpeace s… 더보기

New Plan Approved for Auckland’s Future

댓글 0 | 조회 636 | 2025.09.24
Auckland Council’s Policy and Planning Committee today approved new changes to the city’s planning rules to better protect people and property from fl… 더보기

Auckland’s Britomart Station Officially Renam…

댓글 0 | 조회 532 | 2025.09.22
As part of the City Rail Link (CRL) project, the Mana Whenua Forum gifted a new name — Waitematā Station — to Auckland’s Britomart Station.Auckland Tr… 더보기

Kiwi families face 'ticking time bomb' withou…

댓글 0 | 조회 279 | 2025.09.22
Thousands of Kiwi heart patients are missing out on a proven, life-saving heart medication because it is not publicly funded.Kia Manawanui Trust - The… 더보기

New round of funding for zero waste projects …

댓글 0 | 조회 257 | 2025.09.21
Waste Minimisation & Innovation Fund opens soonDo you have an idea for reducing waste in your community, school or business?Auckland Council is en… 더보기