Equifax NZ Quarterly Business Credit Demand Index: June 2022
- Overall business credit enquiries down by -11.9% (vs June 2021 quarter)
- Business loan enquiries decreased by -18.8% (vs June 2021 quarter)
- Trade credit enquiries decreased by -9.0% (vs June 2021 quarter)
- Asset finance enquiries down by -6.6% (vs June 2021 quarter)
Auckland, New Zealand, 29August 2022: Overall business credit demand is down year-on-year for the fourth consecutive quarter and remains below pre-COVID volumes. Business credit demand fell by 11.9% in the June quarter, driven predominantly by business loans, but there were declines in all major business credit demand categories.
Business loans had the largest decline in commercial demand, with an 18.8% year-on-year fall for the quarter, when compared to the June quarter of 2021.
Released today by Equifax New Zealand a global data, analytics and technology company and the leading provider of credit information and analysis in New Zealand and Australia, the Business Credit Demand Index (BCDI) measures credit enquiry volumes for commercial products including asset finance, business loans and trade credit.
“With business confidence remaining at lows only seen for short periods of time, in the initial phases of the pandemic and around the GFC, the softness of business credit demand is to be expected,” says Equifax Managing Director Angus Luffman. “The uncertainty created by rising interest rates, above target inflation and supply-chain constraints will be impacting business credit demand, but it is the labour supply shortfalls that likely have the greatest impact on investment plans. If businesses struggle to get access to the labour to implement their growth
plans, they will limit the capital they allocate and borrow.”
The construction sector particularly felt the disruptive impacts of the current economic conditions, with business loan credit demand down 18.5% for the segment, in the June quarter. “There are multiple forces at play, with building delays arising from COVID, supply-chain constraints and staff sicknesses, all which impact critical stage payments. At the same time, construction consents are at record highs and well above industry capacity to execute,”
Credit demand for asset finance and trade credit is currently stronger than business loan appetite, with year-on-year reductions for the quarter to June 2022 of 6.6% and 9%, respectively. Asset finance and Trade Credit demand will feel the effects of economic headwinds, broad based credit demand has held up relatively well, with most of the
June quarter decline driven from the Construction, Professional, Scientific and Technical Services sectors, said Luffman.
CHART: Business Credit Demand Index, Year-on-Year Changes (%)
Source: SB Communications